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  • 發布時間︰2011-09-19

    美國即將議息,伯南克應否即時推出新量寬措施?(388人參與)29

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  • Annie2050發表於 2011-10-9 11:30 PM
  • #30
  • U.S. companies' offshore cash (>1.4 trilliion)

    A bill was introduced in the Senate on Oct 6, 2011 by Republican John McCain and Democrat Kay Hagan that would let companies bring profits back to the U.S. at an 8.75 percent tax rate, or 5.25 percent if they increase their payrolls by a specified amount. (www. businessweek.com)
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  • Annie2050發表於 2011-10-3 12:42 PM
  • #29
  • long- term loan : for investment
    short- term loan : for speculation

    Q.E 1 & 2 :

    (1) lower long-term market interest rate : to help economy and support mortgage market in U.S.A.

    (2) lower short-term market interest rate : hot money to push up commodities prices and cause inflation in Europe and emerging markets.

    ==
    O.T.2 :

    (1) lower long-term market interest rate by buying long-term bonds :
    to help economy and support mortgage market in U.S.A. (same effects as Q.E. 1 & 2)

    (2) push up short-term market interest rate by selling short-term bonds :
    causing capital outflow from commodities, Europe and emerging markets. Capital flow in U.S.A.

    ==
    Euribor-Ois was a little bit lower after 5 central banks announced liquidity offer on Sep 15, 2011.
    Euribor-Ois then climbed to new high this year after Fed's announcement of OT2. on Sep 22, 2011.
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  • Annie2050發表於 2011-9-26 01:27 PM
  • #28
  • 回覆 #19 hwang111


    Quote of the 56th U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger :

    “If you control the oil, you control entire nations; if you control the food, you control the people; if you control the money, you control the entire world.”

    Think about recent wars in Middle East and Africa; think about Monsanto and Indian farmers.
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  • Annie2050發表於 2011-9-26 10:01 AM
  • #27
  • If copy the pattern of silver & oil bubble burst, gold will plunge to $1200 within next few days.
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  • Nino發表於 2011-9-24 10:59 PM
  • #26
  • 講得好。只不過係美國佬攞我哋其他國家同佢陪葬,我死你哋都要死。
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  • kong573161發表於 2011-9-24 01:28 AM
  • #25
  • QE的目的是什麼,相信美國佬心知無助美國經濟,QE目的在於---我(美國)的經濟不好,你們的經濟也不可以好,美國佬本來目中無人,如今全世界經濟一片混亂始作俑者就是美國佬
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  • Shulin發表於 2011-9-23 11:02 PM
  • #24
  • That's enlightening Annie. Will pass the info to my friend.

  • 引用 #20 Annie2050 發表於 2011-9-23 12:17 PM

    回覆 Shulin Sorry to hear the misfortune about your friend. Reits in US can be classified as : ( ...
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  • Jones發表於 2011-9-23 07:52 PM
  • #23
  • 其實大家都預左佢推OT2,而唔係QE3,一切在預期之內,跌市主因係會後聲明,以往一直否認有雙底衰退風險的存在,今次終於承認風險顯著。
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  • 吡吡發表於 2011-9-23 06:06 PM
  • #22
  • 阿伯有相睇,凡口邊四維俾鬚圍實密不透風的人,一生必掌富可歒國的理財大權,但一生到頭亦必衰到貼地做乞兒,看官唔信可參考相書對照。
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  • Annie2050發表於 2011-9-23 12:46 PM
  • #21
  • (What Hong Kong may face if European Debt crisis not properly managed) =

    (1997 Asian Financial Crisis) + (2008 Financial Tsunami) + (Bankruptcy of nations) + (Property bubble burst in China) +...

    1997 Asian Financial Crisis =
    rapid depreciation of Asian currencies + rapid outflow of capital +rapid decline of asset prices.
    (the currency market tells the truth about what is happening now.)
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  • Annie2050發表於 2011-9-23 12:17 PM
  • #20
  • 回覆 #14 Shulin


    Sorry to hear the misfortune about your friend.

    Reits in US can be classified as : (1) Lodging and resorts (2) Health care (3) self storage (4) specialty (timber)
    (5) regional malls (6) Industrial (7) residential apartments (8) mortgage (9).. ....

    Many Reits survived the financial tsunami :
    (4) PCL : 2009 March : Lowest at $22.88, 2011 April Highest $44.28, div & yield =4.6%
    (5) CBL : 2009 March : L $1.92, 2011 Jun H $19.35, div & yield = 6.2%
    (7) CPT : 2009 March : L $16.38, 2011 July H $69.48, div & yield = 3.3%
    (8) AGNC : 2009 Oct : L $12, 2011 Jun H $30.76, div & yield = 19.3%

    It is absolutely true that it is too risky for retirees to put their savings in either stock or reits. No shares can defy gravity, especailly in extremely volatile stock markets. However, different people have different risk appetite and perception of the market. This explains why some people opt for IPO application or "趁低撈內銀股" recently.
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  • hwang111發表於 2011-9-22 05:21 PM
  • #18
  • 回覆 #17 無錢有罪


    又三家钱庄被债信评级下调。就算阿伯有量款,肯定效果也不会很好。『量款』留返下次久曲重温,可能会比较动听。昨晚的「扭曲操作」出师不利,扭伤佐条腰。。。罪过!
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  • 無錢有罪發表於 2011-9-22 04:19 PM
  • #17
  • 伯南克選擇放棄量寬。結果係點? 港股大插九百點,18000一篤即破。若果,他選擇量寬,港股係唔係可以倖免於難呢?
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  • Annie2050發表於 2011-9-22 10:12 AM
  • #15
  • 回覆 #11 星塵


    What Europe need is liquidity. So if USA want to "K.O" Euro at this critical moment, "no QE" is understandable.
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  • Shulin發表於 2011-9-21 09:16 PM
  • #14
  • A friend of mine living in US lost her last dime for her reits investment (very popular as retirement fund) at the financial tsunami. She said she might have to work till 70 years old( if she can still get a job).

  • 引用 #12 Annie2050 發表於 2011-9-21 03:49 PM

    The Federal Reserve pledged to peg interest rates at ultra-low level for further 2 years. That mean ...
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  • Annie2050發表於 2011-9-21 08:31 PM
  • #13
  • Breakdown for 18.1 trillion:

    Assets in individual retirement accounts (IRAs) = $4.9 trillion.
    Defined contribution (DC) plan assets = $4.7 trillion.
    Government pension plans—including federal, state, and local government plans = $4.5 trillion
    Private-sector defined benefit (DB) plans = $2.3 trillion
    Annuity reserves outside of retirement accounts = $1.6 trillion.

    http://www.ici.org/pressroom/news/ret_11_q1
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  • Annie2050發表於 2011-9-21 03:49 PM
  • #12
  • The Federal Reserve pledged to peg interest rates at ultra-low level for further 2 years. That means retiree cannot rely on buying bonds to earn a living for further 2 years.

    As of March 31, 2011, total U.S. retirement assets were $18.1 trillion, Retirement savings = 37% of all Household financial assets in the U.S.

    Some of the retirement savings may take higher risk to invest in stock or most probably in Reits to earn higher interest.
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  • 星塵發表於 2011-9-21 09:29 AM
  • #11
  • 佢要維持霸道主意, 一定要再推出新量寬措施, 印多啲銀紙
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